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A fire management team in Darwin is modelling the spread rate of a controlled burn. The spread rate is directly proportional to both wind speed (in km/h) and fuel load (in tonnes per hectare).
In a test scenario, when the wind speed is 66 km/h and the fuel load is 45 tonnes per hectare, the fire spreads at 1980 m per hour. What is the exact spread rate, in metres per hour, when the wind speed is 99 km/h and the fuel load is 60 tonnes per hectare?
Use direct proportion to determine the exact rate.
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Worked solution
- The spread rate is directly proportional to both wind speed (in km/h) and fuel load (in tonnes per hectare). This means the spread rate R can be expressed as R = k × v × f, where v is wind speed, f is fuel load, and k is the constant of proportionality.
- Given: v = 66 km/h, f = 45 tonnes/ha, R = 1980 m/h. Substitute these values into the formula to find k: 1980 = k × 66 × 45.
- Calculate the product of wind speed and fuel load: 66 × 45 = 2970.
- Solve for k: k = 1980 / 2970. Simplify the fraction by dividing numerator and denominator by 90: 1980 ÷ 90 = 22, 2970 ÷ 90 = 33. So k = 22/33 = 2/3.
- Now use k = 2/3 to find the new spread rate when v = 99 km/h and f = 60 tonnes/ha. Apply the formula: R = (2/3) × 99 × 60.
- First, compute 99 × 60 = 5940.
- Now compute (2/3) × 5940. Divide 5940 by 3: 5940 ÷ 3 = 1980. Then multiply by 2: 1980 × 2 = 3960.
- The spread rate is 3960 m per hour.
- Check: the wind speed increased from 66 to 99 km/h, a factor of 99/66 = 1.5. The fuel load increased from 45 to 60 tonnes/ha, a factor of 60/45 = 1.333... (4/3). The combined factor is 1.5 × 1.333... = 2. So the new rate should be 2 × 1980 = 3960 m/h. This matches.
Reference answer: 3960 m/h
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